Saturday, 28 February 2009

Will the Captain go down before the ship?

The Kremlin is contemplating cuts in the military, which the military isn't too happy about, as you can imagine. With Putin already weakened can he afford to risk discontent in the ranks? (Though Putin is a tough leader, and valid perceptions of "weakened" and be difficult to ascertain in Russia).

If the Kremlin weakens in terms of unity as power struggles develop, will this mean a weakening of Russian geopolitical ambitions, or a renewed attempt to increase Russian geopolitical standing in the world?

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